Thursday, November 17, 2011

Thursday Afternoon Goalies - Week 7

A quick heads-up, I recently started working a day job and that has really cut into my hours for the website, add on top of that I have some school work to take care of and things really start piling up. Anyways, I wasn't able to do the picks the last couple of weeks unfortunately, but I will this week. Anyways, here's your TAGs, I've also inserted comments on why they are ranked where they are.

1.   Pekka Rinne
2.   Kari Lehtonen
3.   Mike Smith (a true sleeper, he has performed phenomenal for a very underrated Phoenix team)
4.   Jonathan Quick
5.   Henrik Lundqvist
6.   Jimmy Howard
7.   Marc-Andre Fleury (looks like he might not even play 60 games this season)
8.   Tomas Vokoun (may be on the best team in hockey, but the team is not performing)
9.   Nikolai Khabibulin (still might be ranked too high)
10. Miikka Kiprusoff
11. Carey Price
12. Tim Thomas (Rask is taking too many games, Thomas won't even hit 60 GP this season)
13. Niklas Backstrom (Harding was on a nice run, but Backstrom is back to being #1)
14. Corey Crawford
15. Cam Ward
16. Jose Theodore
17. Jonas Hiller (Ducks might be overworking him)
18. Craig Anderson
19. Brian Elliott (the more games he plays, the higher he will be ranked)
20. Ondrej Pavelec
21. Ilya Bryzgalov (SV% and GAA have not been good)
22. Johan Hedberg (looks better than Brodeur)
23. Semyon Varlamov (hot start, but has performed terribly since)
24. Antti Niemi (started off the season injured, expect his ranking to climb)
25. Ryan Miller (poor start to the season, concussion, and Enroth is looking really good)

Just to give you an idea of how the rankings work, the main thing I really look at is how many games they are projected to play this season and then I look at all the other stuff, Wins, GAA, SV%, etc. So a guy that is projected to play 62 games who's stats are slightly worse than a guy who's projected to play 52 games. Why do I do this? Because goalies that play more games for you are better than goalies that don't play as much. I will compare two site's rankings to give you an idea.

ESPN's top 5 goalies according to their PRK
1. Nikolai Khabibulin
2. Brian Elliott
3. Jimmy Howard
4. Jonathan Quick
5. Marc-Andre Fleury

The problem should be very apparent, the only goalies up there that are worthy of a top 5 ranking are Quick and maybe Howard. Khabibulin's ranking is strictly based off his performance thus far this season which may or may not be a fluke. Elliott's ranking is a joke because he's a back-up in St. Louis, he hasn't even started half of his team's games. Fleury's ranking is debatable because while he has been a good goalie, the fact that ESPN has neglected both Rinne and Lehtonen should tell you how intelligent they are.

Yahoo! Rankings
1. Jimmy Howard
2. Nikolai Khabibulin
3. Jonathan Quick
4. Brian Elliott
5. Pekka Rinne

Again, the problem is with Khabibulin and Elliott being ranked too high. At least they inserted Rinne into the top 5, but Rinne will obviously be better than all those guys at the end of the season.

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