Monday, November 29, 2010

Looking ahead to Week 13...

Haven't done this before, but I got a few minutes to take a break from writing my paper.. Note: I am starting this at 10:05pm... see how long it takes til I post it..

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles
First game of the week on Thursday Night Football! Expect a high scoring game! Arian Foster could have another monster game, but will the Eagles defense shut him and Andre Johnson (who's not suspended) down? Will the Texans defense have another monster game?

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have come off some terrible games, the Saints are finally catching their stride with injured players coming back! Will Drew Brees and the Saints go off again? Or will the Bengals finally play defense?

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
The Lions at home have been very tough. Will the momentum carry over from beating Philly or will the Bears be upset by a Lions team looking to play spoiler? Will Jay Culter look like he did last week? Or like he has the rest of the season?

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers
Will the 49ers have Frank Gore? Will the Packers have a running game? Will Aaron Rodgers and his wide receivers go crazy? Will the 49ers still be in the chase for the NFC West? Will we see some more Lambeau magic?

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Two teams only a game apart, will the Titans tie with the Jaguars or will the Jaguars go two games up? Will the Jaguars be able to hold onto the division lead? Will Kerry Collins start for the Titans? Will the Jaguars take their foot of the pedal like they did against the Giants?

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Can the Broncos avenge their loss to the Chiefs? Will the Chiefs hold onto the division? After the blowout from a few weeks back will the coaches shake hands after the game? Who will have the bigger game, Matt Cassel or Kyle Orton? Will Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles explode again?

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
Will Peyton Hillis's amazing season continue? Will the Dolphins be without Brandon Marshall again? Will last week's win over Oakland carry over to this week against the Browns? Can the Dolphins shut down the run game? Will Ricky Williams explode once again?

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Will the Vikings win their second consecutive game under their new coach? Can Ryan Fitzpatrick lead the Bills to victory? Can Steve Johnson overcome his blunders from the Steelers game? Will Brett Favre and Sidney Rice start connecting this week? Is Adrian Peterson going to play?

Washington Redskins vs New York Giants
Will the Redskins pull out a win against the Giants? Can the Giants keep up the momentum? Will the Redskins offense finally put some points up? Can the Giants score without several starters missing on offense? Will McNabb beat the Giants as a Redskin?

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers
Will Philip Rivers' magical season continue? Will the Raiders avenge last week's lost? Will the Chargers magical run in December continue? Who will start at QB for the Raiders? Will Vincent Jackson and Ryan Matthews play this week?

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks
Will the Seahawks manage to get back on track for an NFC West title? Can the Panthers win their second game of the season? Will Clausen be able to lead the Panthers to victory? Who will be running the ball for the Seahawks? Can the Seahawks re-establish their home-field advantage?

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Can the Bucs continue their magical season? Will the Falcons win in Tampa? Will Josh Freeman be able to lead the Bucs to victory? Will Blount run for 100 yards? Will Turner run for 100 yards? Will both teams make it to the playoffs at season's end?

St. Louis Rams vs Arizona Cardinals
Will both teams be competing for the NFC West title? Will the Rams make it up to .500? Will Sam Bradford lead his team to victory? Will Larry Fitzgerald finally have a monster game? Will Steven Jackson run over the  Cardinals defense?

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts
Will the Cowboys spoil the season for the Colts? Will the Colts manage to get back on track to an AFC South title? Can the Colts establish a run game? Will Jon Kitna outperform Peyton Manning? Will Peyton Manning have another game with 3 interceptions?

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens
Who's going to win the AFC North? Will the Ravens outhit the Steelers? Who's defense is going to outperform the other? Will there be much offense? Who's running game will succeed? Will Anquan Boldin have a monster game?

New York Jets vs New England Patriots
Who's going to win the AFC East? Who's offense is going to win this game? Who's defense is going to win this game? Will Tom Brady continue having monster games? Will Mark Sanchez have to pull out a win at the last second for the Jets? Who will have the best record in the AFC?

Those questions and many more will be answered in WEEK 13!

Damn, that took half an hour... there goes my break from writing a paper....

Vincent Jackson Injury Update

Vincent Jackson suffered a tear in his vagina during the first series of the Chargers win over the Colts on Sunday night. Jackson, who has been out for the previous 11 weeks due to holdout, returned to the field for just one series before being sidelined for the evening. It was unclear how the injury occurred, but it seems that cornerback Kelvin Hayden lightly fondled with Jackson’s vaginal area during the second play of the game. Jackson, who has a history of being a pussy, is highly sensitive when his vaginal areas are touched by defensive backs. Head coach Norv Turner refused to put Jackson back in the game, apparently furious over the fact that Jackson’s vagina is no longer his alone.

We do not know at this point how long Jackson will be sidelined for this injury. He is set to visit a gynecologist early on Monday morning to have an examination.

Fantasy analysis: Fantasy owners holding on to Vincent Jackson received a big blow as they paid dearly for believing in the vagina of Vincent Jackson. What’s more, he took a massive shit on those who believed him enough to start him by putting up a big zero before leaving due to his injured vagina. Of course, we all knew that he was a huge pussy, but did we expect this after 11 weeks of holdout? No.

UPDATE: This just in. Jackson has just left the gynecologist office and the word in is that he is pregnant. VINCENT JACKSON IS PREGNANT. Jackson refused to comment on the father of his child, but an anonymous source within the Chargers organization reveals that the father is Chargers owner A.J. Smith. We all know that Smith and Jackson were bitter toward each other due to contractual differences, but did this also have a romantic factor as well? What will Smith do now that he has fathered Jackson’s child? We need to monitor closely throughout the week.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

The rest of the week 12 games...

So, we've all had our Thanksgiving dinner, Black Friday shopping sprees, and most of all, time to recharge our batteries. Here's hoping Jon comes back and Sam actually starts posting. I also want to mention the three of us are in a fantasy football league together and pretty much hate each others' team and will probably do anything to rip the other one off. (Drinking whiskey as I type this) I'd like to think that this is the time of giving and sharing wince it's the Holidays. Unfortunately, from here until December 22nd, I will not be giving, nor sharing, nor caring. I got exams and what not. Good thing for you guys is, I still give a shit about football... and fantasy football...

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons
First off, I like the Packers. I also think Atlanta has gotten way too lucky in the early part of the season. I could list all the things that went right for the Falcons and how they're 8-2. Then again, I could list all the things that went wrong for the Packers and somehow they're 7-3? This is why I like the Packers. They've had so many injuries and bone-headed plays (Bears game anyone?), yet they're 7-3 when they could be 10-0. They went into New York a few weeks back and completely shut down the Jets. They embarrassed Dallas on National TV and made Brett Favre's last game at Lambeau, one to forget. (Unless you're a Packers fan still pissed off about him not retiring when he should have). On the flip side, the Falcons beat the Bengals in a crazy shootout, beat the Ravens when Roddy White pushed off the corner to get a last minute TD, and beat the Rams because... they're the Rams. On defense, the Packers are much more formidable. They have a very strong front seven and Charles Woodson and Tramon Williams will have to figure out a way to shut down Roddy White. On the flip side, the Falcons secondary has gotten torn up by elite quarterbacks. They've managed to really shut down the run game since the first two weeks of the season when Rashard Mendenhall and Tim Hightower (REALLY?) ran for 100+ yards, but they've managed to keep everyone else from surpassing that. The Packers aren't going to run, there's no Ryan Grant, but Aaron Rodgers is going to pick apart the Falcons secondary with Greg Jennings (can I mention that he's been on a tear as of late?) Donald Driver (if he's healthy), James Jones, and Jordy Nelson.
PICK and SPREAD: Green Bay Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills
This is most certainly a trap game. The Bills come in on a two game win streak after a miserable start to the season. Last week was very impressive considering the Bills were down by 17 points going into halftime and winning by 18! Not to mention they outscored Cincinnati 35-0 in the second half! The thing is though, the Bill's offense runs through Fred Jackson. Ryan Fitzpatrick may be having the monster games, but in both wins, Fred Jackson ran for over 100 yards and had over 125 yards rushing and receiving, not to mention scoring two touchdowns in each of those games. The Steelers come in with the #1 rush defense and a very poor passing defense. They've gotten shredded by the likes of Joe Flacco, Chad Henne, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. Chad Henne was the only QB to lose to them this season. The Steelers also boast Mike Wallace and Hines Ward, a pair of talented wide receivers, but the Bills have the ninth best passing defense in the league, so we'll see how they perform. Actually, just looking at some numbers, I really like the Bills now. Their rushing defense has been shredded by teams featuring multiple backs. Insert table below!

Team/Players Att Yds TDs
Miami


Ronnie Brown 13 65 1
Ricky Williams 18 62 0
Green Bay


Brandon Jackson 11 29 1
John Kuhn 9 36 0
New England Patriots


BenJarvus Green-Ellis 16 98 1
Sammy Morris 6 19 0
Fred Taylor 6 16 0
Danny Woodhead 3 42 1
New York Jets


LaDainian Tomlinson 19 133 2
Shonn Greene 22 117 0
Jacksonville Jaguars


Maurice Jones-Drew 19 84 0
Deji Karim  15 70 0
Baltimore Ravens


Willis McGahee 11 62 1
Ray Rice 16 72 0
Kansas City Chiefs


Jamaal Charles 22 177 0
Thomas Jones 19 77 0
Chicago Bears


Matt Forte 14 49 0
Chester Taylor 10 13 0
Detroit Lions


Kevin Smith 6 19 0
Jahvid Best 17 35 0
Cincinnati Bengals


Cedric Benson 25 124 1
As you can see, minus the loss to the Bears, they've been managing to shut down rushing teams as of late as well as running back tandems. If they can figure out a way to shut down Mendenhall and make Roethlisberger throw picks. They can win this game.
UPSET SPECIAL! PICK and SPREAD: Buffalo Bills

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns
There's really not much to say here. The Panthers are on their third string QB and third string RB. They have the worst offense in the NFL. They really have no chance of stopping Peyton Hillis with their 24th ranked rush defense. Jake Delhomme is starting and you can bet he wants to DESTROY the Panthers for getting rid of him.
PICK and SPREAD: Cleveland Browns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants
Oh man, who would've guessed the Jaguars would be on top of their division this late into the season! They're ahead of Indianapolis, Houston, and Tennessee after finishing behind all of them last year! The Giants are banged up and are having trouble in the locker room again. Brandon Jacobs will finally be starting after receiving a 20 grand fine for what else? Ridiculous antics with the fans. The Giants are missing two of their linemen in Diehl and O'Hara. They lost Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks, Manning's top two WRs for this week and they are coming off back-to-back losses to division rivals Philly and Dallas (DALLAS? ARE YOU KIDDING ME?) Both those teams put up some ridiculous numbers and I doubt the Giants will be able to stop the Jaguars either. On the flip side, the Jags have beaten some solid teams and lost against formidable opopnents
PICK and SPREAD: Jacksonville Jaguars

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Redskins
Brett Favre has not looked like Brett Favre, he looks like an old washed up man. The Redskins defense gives up a ton of yards, but if you take out the Eagles games, they don't give up many points (just under 20 per game). The last time the Vikings gave up fewer than three touchdowns was BEFORE their bye week. Since then, everyone's been able to score on them. Sure the Redskins have McNabb and a shoddy running game starting Keiland Williams today. (who?) Well, I know who he is, some of you might know him as well for fantasy purposes, but this game is really gonna come down to turnovers. In games the Redskins win the turnover battle, they're 5-2. Those two losses coming to Indianapolis and Houston by 3 points each. The Vikings have only won the turnover battle once and are 1-0. In games they equaled their opponent's turnover, they're 1-0. So here's how the game is going to be won. Turnovers. Redskins are a +6 and Vikings are -13.
PICK and SPREAD: Washington Redskins

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans
This game is going to be very interesting. Obviously the Titans are going to be starting the Rookie Rusty Smith. On the other side, the Texans have the worst passing defense in the NFL. The question is, will Smith be able to exploit it? He didn't do much against the Redskins outside of a 52 yard bomb to Nate Washington. The Texans have Arian Foster, Matt Schaub, and Andre Johnson. All guys that will probably go crazy against the Titans defense. I'm going with the home field advantage.
PICK: Houston Texans

Late games coming up!
Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks
If this game were in Kansas City, it would be an easy win for the Chiefs. However, it's in Seattle, one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL. Both teams have poor passing defenses as well as passing games, however, Hasselbeck has thrown for over 300 yards in each of the last two games. A win in Arizona and a loss in New Orleans. The Chiefs pound the ball like crazy in their run game with Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles, however, the Seahawks don't have a run game. What they do have is a crazy defense at home with 13 turnovers in four games. The Chiefs will really have to rely on their defense, which has only forced 12 turnovers all season. I really like the Seahawks in this matchup, even if they are 1 point under in the spread.
PICK and SPREAD: Seattle Seahawks

Miami Dolphins vs Oakland Raiders
This is going quite the interesting game. Both teams are .500 and need a win to stay in the playoff chase, while a loss will most certainly push them out of it. Although in the case of the Raiders, they have fewer games to makeup to win the division title, the Dolphins are pretty much praying for a wildcard spot right now. Both teams are 4-1 as their respective sides. Dolphins 4-1 on the road, Raiders 4-1 at home. Both teams are very good at shutting down the passing game, although it didn't work so well for Oakland last week as they got blown out by Pittsburgh. The Dolphins on the other hand got completely shut down by Chicago. Both teams are not that good at shutting down the run, but Miami has averaged under 100 yards rushing per game this season. On the other side, the Raiders have two running backs that have been tearing it up in Michael Bush and Darren McFadden. I like the Raiders at home.
PICK and SPREAD: Oakland Raiders

St. Louis Rams vs Denver Broncos
The Broncos have one of the most explosive passing games in the NFL. The Rams don't have much outside of Steven Jackson. That's where the game will be won. Either on Steven Jackson's Legs or Kyle Orton's arm. I'd go with Kyle Orton's arm considering the Rams have never won on the road this season.
PICK and SPREAD: Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears
The Bears have a great defense, so do the Eagles. The Eagles also have a great offense... not so much for the Bears. When somebody figures out how to stop Michael Vick... get back to me... til then...
PICK and SPREAD: Philadelphia Eagles


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens
Both teams have had their defenses playing exceptionally well this season. Baltimore is 5th in points allowed, Tampa is 10th. Tampa is 6th in passing defense, Baltimore is 10th. Baltimore is 9th in rushing defense. Tampa is 29th... and therein lies the weakness to this defense. Both offenses are middle of the pack. But expect Ray Rice to have a monster game, and that is how the Ravens will win this game.
PICK: Baltimore Ravens SPREAD: Tampa Bay Buccaneers


San Diego Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts
Both teams have amazing passing offenses. But the Chargers have given up the fewest yards per game on defense. They've lost games due to stupidity, but they're on a three game win streak right now. Although, I think the one thing I've learned over the past couple years is to never bet against the Chargers after Thanksgiving with Philip Rivers. Since Drew Brees left San Diego, Rivers has only lost 1 game in his career after Thanksgiving, along with 22 wins...
PICK and SPREAD: San Diego Chargers

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals
Worst. Monday. Night. Football. Game. of the season... The Cardinals are the second worst offense in the NFL and fourth worst defense in the NFL. On the flip side, the 49ers haven't won on the road. Somehow, it's gonna be a close game. Ugh... I'm flipping a coin for this one...
PICK: San Francisco 49ers

Friday, November 19, 2010

Week 11 picks

Been at least a week since the guys posted. We've all been incredibly busy, me with school and Jon with applying to law schools and Sam (once he gets on here) being retarded...

Washington Redskins vs Tennessee Titans (PICK: TITANS)
Eh... no, Redskins are not gonna beat the Titans. Why? Defense and Chris Johnson

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers (PICK: RAVENS)
Easiest pick of the week!

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals (PICK: BENGALS)
The Bengals just have way too much firepower...

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys (PICK: COWBOYS)
When was the last time Detroit won on the road? 2008?

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs (PICK: CHIEFS)
Kansas City is undefeated at home, that much is certain to keep going.

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings (PICK: PACKERS)
Green Bay had a bye; can Brett Favre walk anymore?

Houston Texans vs New York Jets (PICK: JETS)
Can the Texans stop anybody's passing game? Last week proved they can't!

Oakland Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers (UPSET PICK: RAIDERS)
I'm going on a whim, but considering how well Oakland has been playing and how poorly Pittsburgh has been playing, I'm going with the RAAIIIIIIIIIIDDDDDDDDDAAAAAAAAAAASSSSSSSSSS!!!!!

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars (PICK: JAGUARS)
Garrard has been on fire since he resumed playing again!

Atlanta Falcons vs St. Louis Rams (PICK: FALCONS)
They did beat the Ravens... even though Roddy White gets away with push-offs...

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints (PICK: SAINTS)
Yea... like the Seahawks are gonna win on the road... and in the big easy of all places... HA!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers (PICK: BUCS)
The Bucs have beaten the teams they're supposed to beat, therefore, they will beat the 49ers.

Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots (PICK: PATRIOTS)
Going with the Patriots at home!

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles (PICK: EAGLES)
GOOD LUCK STOPPING VICK!

Denver Broncos vs San Diego Chargers (PICK: CHARGERS)
Philip Rivers owns the NFL after Halloween

Monday, November 8, 2010

Week of November 8th - Studs, Solids, and Sleepers - THE THREE S'S OF FANTASY HOCKEY

So this is the second week of me ranking hockey players, in terms of actual hockey I think this is week 5, so I'm going to have to rename this column starting next week. Also going to analyze my picks from last week later this evening.

Forwards

Studs
Steven Stamkos
Bobby Ryan
Teemu Selanne
Martin St. Louis
Corey Perry
Alex Ovechkin
Alexander Semin

Solids
Sidney Crosby
Ryan Getzlaf
Martin Hanzal
Nicklas Backstrom
Patrick Marleau
Evander Kane
Michael Frolik
Brandon Dubinsky
Jason Spezza
Brooks Laich
Henrik Sedin
Alexander Steen
Pavel Datsyuk
Mikko Koivu
Steve Downie
Raffi Torres
Dany Heatley
Patrick Kane
Nathan Horton
Lee Stempniak
Chris Stewart
Daniel Sedin
Justin Abdelkader
Henrik Zetterberg
Eric Staal
David Booth


Sleepers
Stephen Weiss
Logan Couture
Sam Gagner
Jonathan Toews
Tomas Fleischmann
Rich Peverley
Jeff Skinner
Saku Koivu
Manny Malhotra
Mikhail Grabovski
Mike Cammalleri
Phillippe Dupuis
Joohan Franzen
David Backes
Eric Belanger
Derek Roy
Paul Stastny
Evgeni Malkin
Radim Vrbata
Patrick Sharp
Dan Cleary
Eric Fehr
Ryan Malone
Milan Hejduk
Michael Ryder
David Van der Gulik
Ales Hemsky
Jarome Iginla
Brandon Yip
Clarke MacArthur
Milan Lucic
Cody McLeod
Jason Chimera
David Perron
Ben Eager
Thomas Vanek

Defensemen (actually ranked for once)

Studs
Ed Jovanovski
Mike Green
Dustin Byfuglien

Solids
Jonathan Ericsson (I believe this is an anomaly of the Red Wings - Oilers game's PIMs)
Ryan Whitney (see comment above)
Lubomir Visnovsky
John Carlson
Kris Letang
Brad Stuart
Toni Lydman
Steve Montador
Kurtis Foster
Dan Boyle
Bryan McCabe

Sleepers
Nicklas Lidstrom
Keith Yandle
Andrew Ference
Alex Pietrangelo
Mark Giordano
Brent Burns
Bryan Allen
Mark Stuart
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Erik Karlsson

I didn't really have much time to go through the goalies unfortunately, but here's some names to throw out in order of ranking for once
1. Henrik Lundqvist
2. Roberto Luongo
3. Jonas Hiller
4. Brian Elliott
5. Antero Nittymaki
6. JimmyHoward
7. Ilya Bryzgalov
8. Carey Price
9. Michal Neuvirth

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Week 9 Rankings + More!!!

What a wild week! First, we have our first shutout of the season. And if anybody picked the team to get shut out this week to be the New York Jets, they would be mocked and ridiculed beyond belief. In reality, that is exactly what happened. I have to say, as a Giants fan, this game was fun to watch. Whether it was the inability for anyone not named JERICHO COTCHERY to make a catch, Nick Folk not being able to connect on a chip shot, costly interceptions in field goal range, a fake punt that got stopped inches short of a 1st down….(I can really go on and on), the game was frustrating (or entertaining for us Giants fans) beyond description.

Halloween surprises were everywhere on the field today. How about that Matthew Stafford? I guess he received the memo from Shaun Hill and Drew Stanton - throw the ball to Calvin. The hookup was beautiful, as they connected for 3 touchdowns on the day. Calvin is ready to pronounce himself the best wide receiver named Johnson in the NFL. On the other side of the field, the surprises were as prevalent as a plot in a Scream movie - nonexistent. Donovan McNabb was mediocre, Santana Moss was mediocre, Chris Cooley was mediocre….you know, a regular Sunday for the ‘skins.

How ‘bout them Jaguars? If you are one of many that dropped Mikes Sims-Walker in frustration, congratulations, he just further frustrated you despite not even being on your roster! MSW outperformed his entire prior 4 weeks production with a 8 catches, 153 yards, and a touchdown thrashing of the ‘boys. A guy in my league picked up David Garrard as a bye-week replacement when Stafford and Cassel was available. My friend and I laughed at him, but now, pin a donkey’s head on a picture where our faces should be, that is exactly how we feel. MJD was MJD, who, despite not scoring, put up monster lines anyway. Nothing much can be said about the Cowboys, who’s only bright spot seems to be the fact that Miles Austin is still producing, Dez Bryant is emerging as a fantasy superstar, and Jason Witten is now the #2 TE in the league by a mile.

Speaking of thrashing, how about that embarrassment that the Raiders put their opponents through for the 2nd straight game? The game was so out of whack, that JASON CAMPBELL looked good! On top of that, he made DERRIUS HEYWARD-BEY look good! Now THAT is hard to do. RunDMC ran all over the NFL’s 2nd leading rushing defense (well, not anymore lol), and I guess that helped open the field for Oakland receivers. Seattle offense was abysmal to be kind. Those hanging on to Mershawn Lynch, after that performance against the soft Oakland rushing D, might as well purchase the New York lotto. You have a higher chance of winning the 131 mil than Mershawn coming through for you (yes, that is Swedish for DROP HIM NOW).

Without further ado, below is the ranking as players suit up for week 9 (or in the cases of Pierre Thomas, actually donning a suit because he just can’t seem to recover from a week to week injury that occurred in week 3). Enjoy!

QB:
1. Peyton Manning @ Philadelphia - the man, always.
2. Phillip Rivers @ Houston - best fantasy qb in league thus far.
3. Aaron Rodgers vs. Dallas - crumbling secondary, if David Garrard can get 5 tds, I expect 17 from Rodgers.
4. Drew Brees @ Carolina - Saints on a mini-roll, Carolina being the Panthers.
5. Tom Brady @ Cleveland - great matchup for great qb.
6. Eli Manning @ Seattle - great matchup for good qb.
7. Matt Ryan vs. Tampa Bay - I would expect the Falcons to pound the running game, but Tampa Bay’s secondary isn’t exactly one to write home about either.
8. Jay Cutler @ Buffalo - if Jay doesn’t perform against Buffalo, it’s time to pronounce his time as both fantasy and NFL qb over.
9. Ben Roethlisberger @ Cincinnati - another good matchup for a good qb.
10. Michael Vick vs. Indianapolis - I actually expect Vick to get a lot of points on the ground against a soft Indianapolis line, that is, unless he chickens out from being sandwiched.
11. Matt Schaub vs. San Diego - not a great matchup, but Matt Schaub should be started unless you have one of the top 10.
12. Joe Flacco vs. Miami - he looks comfortable in that offense, and is looking better by the week.
13. Matthew Stafford vs. New York Jets - Staff’s strong return might run into a little pebble that is the New York Jets defense. This will be an interesting game to watch.
14. Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Chicago - Chicago has stuffed the run this year with Urlacher and Briggs. Coupled with the fact that Fred Jackson isn’t exactly Adrian Peterson, look for Fitz to throw until he drops (literally).
15. Josh Freeman @ Atlanta - I cannot say enough about this young man as a NFL qb. Now he is beginning to show that he can be a viable fantasy option as well.
16. Carson Palmer vs. Pittsburgh
17. Chad Henne @ Baltimore
18. Mark Sanchez @ Detroit
19. Jon Kitna @ Green Bay
20. Colt McCoy vs. New England
21. Matt Cassel @ Oakland
22. Brett Favre vs. Arizona
23. Matt Moore vs. New Orleans
24. Derek Anderson @ Minnesota
25. Jason Campbell vs. Kansas City

RB:
1. Adrian Peterson vs. Arizona - if you have him, start him, lol.
2. Michael Turner vs. Tampa Bay - possibly the 2nd best matchup for a RB this weekend. Look for Turner to thrash his way to 100 yards.
3. Jamaal Charles @ Oakland - the best matchup to run against this weekend, the second fastest guy in the NFL, I shouldn’t have to tell you this but don’t sit Charles.
4. Matt Forte @ Buffalo - another juicy matchup. With Cutler looking as clueless as he is, look for Martz to give the ball to Forte.
5. LaDanian Tomlinson @ Detroit - as long as LT is healthy he should be started. The Detroit defensive line is very underrated, but look for LT to continue prove doubters wrong.
6. Rashard Mendenhall @ Cincinnati - Rashard has been losing a little bit of carries recently to Ben and Moore, but isn’t nearly enough to bench him, especially against Cinci.
7. Ray Rice vs. Miami - if I had a nickel for every disappointed owner of Ray Rice, I’d have a few hundred thousand nickels (roughly 2000 USD). It hasn’t been entirely Ray’s fault, as injuries and Willis McGahee have both been in his way.
8. Ahmad Bradshaw @ Seattle - Seattle allowed a big game to RunDMC and even his backup Michael Bush. They are an elite NFL rush defense though, and RunDMC has been the hottest thing since sliced cheese, but Ahmad is no pickle either. Look for him to get close to 100 yards.
9. Darren McFadden vs. Kansas City - speaking of sliced cheese, RunDMC goes up against another elite rush defense. But who gives a $%*# when you are RunDMC? Ride him until he breaks something else (hopefully a record).
10. Thomas Jones @ Oakland - Charles’s running buddy. They’ve been receiving about the same amount of carries, and against a nonexistent Oakland rush d, 15 carries can translate to monster numbers.
11. LeSean McCoy vs. Indianapolis - the Colts suck against the run. LeSean is a great runner. 1 + 1 = start LeSean McCoy.
12. Peyton Hillis vs. New England - now, the Patriots are a great rush defense, but how many great rushing defenses have we seen Hillis tear up this year? Exactly, start him.
13. BenJarvis Green-Ellis @ Cleveland - somewhat of a question mark. He’ll get work, we just don’t know exactly how much. Great matchup, but Danny Woodhead is pesky to Law Firm owners.
14. LeGarrette Blount @ Atlanta - LeRunOverYourFace Blount is finally getting the carries he deserves. If you picked this guy up. Congratulations, you have just secured yourself one of the best RB2s moving forward.
15. Ryan Matthews @ Houston - great matchup, but he has to share the ball with the vulture that is Mike Tolbert and the pesky presence of Darren Sproles. 15 is a bit high imo.
16. Brandon Jackson vs. Dallas - why would I ever rank Bjax #16? Well, did you start Garrard last week? Exactly. Start every player playing against Dallas, including QB, WR, RB, backup RB, 3rd RB, TE, kicker, defense, coach, owner….you get the point.
17. Shonn Greene @ Detroit - soft matchup. Against soft matchups we have seen Rex Ryan feed Shonn LT’s leftovers, so we have to hope for Shonn to be a good boy and gets his share.
18. Beanie Wells @ Minnesota - Beanie’s debut as a starter against a questionable TB run defense was…meh. He did rush for a 2 yard td, but everything else was mediocre. He was also a little banged up. Hopefully he’ll be ok. As long as Raheem Morris is spanking Hightower’s bottom, Beanie is starting material.
19. Fred Jackson vs. Chicago - why are you giving such a mediocre guy so many carries when you have a #1 pick on the sidelines only for 3rd downs….ughhh. He shouldn’t be 19.
20. Jonathan Stewart vs. New Orleans - he sucks, but if DeAngelo is out he has to get another chance.
21. Jahvid Best vs. New York Jets - when it’s ________ against the Jets, unless that blank is named AP or CJ, you really have to think hard.
22. Mike Tolbert @ Houston - This guy just won’t stop stealing tds from Matthews!!! $*%& him!!! (he’s actually a decent RB, with nice hands too…crap)
23. Marshawn Lynch vs. New York Giants - the only reason I have him at 23 is that Pete Carroll still believes in him for some reason…idk why, he sucks.
24. Cedric Benson vs. Pittsburgh - see # 21 but replace Jets with Steelers.
25. Danny Woodhead @ Cleveland - if you are a Pat’s fan, he’s really, really energetic. If you are playing against him, he’s really, really annoying. Either way, he is getting touches and should be started as a WR3 or flex.
26. Felix Jones @ Green Bay - why is Marion Barber getting touches again? My spotted golden retriever can probably carry a football for more yards (although he might suffer some fatal injuries in the process). But the fact remains that Felix’s number of touches is still ambiguous and will stay in the 20s until further update.
27. Ronnie Brown @ Baltimore - don’t start him.
28. Ricky Williams @ Baltimore - see #27
29. Michael Bush vs. Kansas City - KC rushing defense is solid. Michael Bush is also solid, but playing behind RunDMC. Will Bush get enough leftovers to keep owners happy?
30. Brandon Jacobs @ Seattle - Bradshaw’s version of Tolbert, so good reason to start him as a flex.
31. Mike Hart @ Philadelphia
32. Donald Brown @ Philadelphia
33. Marion Barber @ Green Bay
34. Reggie Bush @ Carolina
35. Darren Sproles @ Houston
36. Willis McGahee vs. Miami
37. John Kuhn vs. Dallas
38. Chris Ivory @ Carolina
39. Justin Forsett vs. New York Giants
40. Tim Hightower @ Minnesota
41. Bernard Scott vs. Pittsburgh
42. C.J. Spiller vs., Chicago
43. Kevin Smith vs. New York Jets
44. Jason Snelling vs. Tampa Bay
45. Cadillac Williams @ Atlanta
46. Marcel Reece vs. Kansas City
47. Mewelde Moore @ Cincinnati
48. Derrick Ward vs. San Diego
49. Ladell Betts @ Carolina
50. LaRod Stephens-Howling @ Minnesota

WR:
1. Roddy White vs. Tampa Bay - White the hot hand! (it’s actually Ride but White rhymes with it)
2. Reggie Wayne @ Philadelphia - P E Y T O N M A N N I N G
3. Hakeem Nicks @ Seattle - look for Eli to throw more and run less with the Hawks defense. Oh yea, and Hakeem is a beast.
4. Marques Colston @ Carolina - Colston has been picking it up lately, and has a great matchup, I just don’t see the Carolina secondary being able to keep up with a crafty and strong Marques Colston.
5. Greg Jennings vs. Dallas - START ANYONE PLAYING THE COWBOYS.
6. Andre Johnson vs. San Diego - Andre Johnson continues to be an elite player in fantasy.
7. Calvin Johnson vs. New York Jets - the only reason he is 7, not 1, or 0 is that he is playing the Jets. But that does not mean you can afford to sit him.
8. Anquan Boldin vs. Miami - Flacco’s favorite target, and why shouldn’t he be? Tall, fast, strong…no wonder Flacco loves him.
9. Brandon Marshall @ Baltimore - another tall, fast and strong guy, what's not to love?
10. Miles Austin @ Green Bay - shown that Romo's absence did not hurt his production, still a top 10 WR
11. Pierre Garcon @ Philadelphia - P E Y T O N M A N N I N G 2
12. Steve Smith (New York Giants) @ Seattle - PPR monster, Eli's most reliable target.
13. DeSean Jackson vs. Indianapolis - if he's alive after that hit, he is an elite receiver.
14. Jeremy Maclin vs. Indianapolis - has good chemistry with both Vick and Kolb, a good deep threat and route runner.
15. Dwayne Bowe @ Oakland - even a bad week translate into a 1 yard td for Bowe nowadays.
16. Larry Fitzgerald @ Minnesota - is last week a fluke? Or does Arizona qbs finally see that if they throw the ball to Fitz they stand a fighting chance?
17. Mike Williams (Tampa Bay) @ Atlanta - this kid is special, his chemistry with Freeman will be fun to watch for years to come.
18. Mike Wallace @ Cincinnati - hard to decide who to put on top, Ward or Wallace, it's a toss-up, he is the deep threat while Ward is the reliable slot guy.
19. Hines Ward @ Cincinnati - see #18
20. Terrell Owens vs. Pittsburgh - TO is on a tear, catching tds left, right, and off defenders. Look for Palmer to pass a lot when playing the Steelers.
21. Steve Johnson vs. Chicago - Buffalo won't run against Chicago, so Steve Johnson, the crafty endzone sneaky-sneak, will get his chances.
22. Johnny Knox @ Buffalo - the only passing threat on the Bears with any fantasy value. Cutler might throw 6 picks before getting him the ball, but Knox will get his.
23. Percy Harvin vs. Arizona - the biggest loser (not the show) of the Moss departure, look for Harvin to struggle again, although maybe not this week due to Arizona's joke of a defense.
24. Steve Smith (Carolina) vs. New Orleans - he will continue to be the lone big-play threat on offense of the Panthers.
25. Randy Moss vs. whichever team he is playing this week - it doesn't matter who it is. Randy doesn't need to learn to playbook, just run the fly route baby.
26. Dez Bryant @ Green Bay - the 2nd biggest beneficiary to byebyeRomo. Kitna loves Bryant...hm...why? Maybe because all he has to do is dump the ball 3 yards to Dez and he somehow ends up with 25. Duh!
27. Lee Evans vs. Chicago - Lee had a mediocre game last week, and would have been worse if the game didn't go into overtime. However, he remains Fitzy's favorite target and deserves a start at WR3.
28. Wes Welker @ Cleveland - why do I have Welker so low? Maybe because I don't rank people by their names? Seriously, the only people still ranking Wes top 20 is doing so based on his reputation, not his production. Wes's yard after catch is abysmal this year (kinda his thing), and excuse me, I'm not going to give Brandon Tate the same respect as a half-trying Randy Moss. Double Welker!!
29. Patrick Crayton @ Houston - IF Floyd, Naanee, and Davis are out next week Crayton will again be in the spotlight for Rivers (and that's a very small if). Last week we did see the emergence of Ajirotutu, who, despite his funny name, looked to have gained River's trust. I would still start Crayton over Tutu, but, it nevertheless hurts Crayton's value.
30. Davone Bess @ Baltimore - I feel bad having one of the most consistent fantasy performers (especially in PPR leagues) this low, but I have to respect the secondary of the Ravens, one of the best in the league. Coming off a bye, they are definitely going to fix some things that went wrong in that ridiculous Bills game.
31. Braylon Edwards @ Detroit
32. Santonio Holmes @ Detroit
33. Steve Breaston @ Minnesota
34. Deion Branch @ Cleveland
35. Donald Driver vs. Dallas
36. Malcom Floyd @ Houston
37. Chad Ochocinco vs. Pittsburgh
38. Anthony Gonzalez @ Philadelphia
39. Brandon Tate @ Cleveland
40. Mario Manningham @ Seattle
41. Nate Burleson vs. New York Jets
42. Jerricho Cotchery @ Detroit
43. Michael Jenkins vs. Tampa Bay
44. Derrick Mason vs. Miami
45. Robert Meacham @ Carolina
46. Lance Moore @ Carolina
47. Darrius Heyward-Bey vs. Kansas City
48. Mike Williams (Seattle) vs. New York Giants
49. Roscoe Parrish vs. Chicago
50. James Jones vs. Dallas

TE:
1. Antonio Gates @ Houston - start him.
2. Nobody
3. Nobody
4. Nobody
5. Nobody
6. Jason Witten @ Green Bay - Jason has quickly emerged as the biggest Romo injury beneficiary. Ride him until he hurts something.
7. Nobody
8. Nobody
9. Nobody
10. Nobody
11. Tony Gonzalez vs. Tampa Bay - Tony Gonzalez is one of Ryan's favorite targets, especially in the red zone.
12. Dustin Keller @ Detroit - if you don't think that the Jets will come out firing on offense after last week, you are crazy. Keller has been a td machine, and gains big yards from Sanchez dumpoffs.
13. Zach Miller vs. Kansas City - elite TE when healthy.
14. Brandon Pettigrew vs. New York Jets - Stafford managed to get the ball the Pettigrew, not as often as Hill but still enough for a td.
15. Todd Heap vs. Miami - one of the more reliable guys in the league.
16. Heath Miller @ Cincinnati
17. Kellen Winslow @ Atlanta
18. Owen Daniels vs. San Diego
19. Tony Moeaki @ Oakland
20. Aaron Hernandez @ Cleveland
21. Jacob Tamme @ Philadelphia
22. Benjamin Watson vs. New England
23. Visanthe Shiancoe vs. Arizona
24. Brent Celek vs. Indianapolis
25. Jeremy Shocky @ Carolina

K:
1. Robbie Gould @ Buffalo
2. Sebastian Janikowski vs. Kansas City
3. Matt Bryant vs. Tampa Bay
4. Neil Rackers vs. San Diego
5. Mason Crosby vs. Dallas
6. Dan Carpenter @ Baltimore
7. Jeff Reed @ Cincinnati
8. Adam Vinatieri @ Philadelphia
9. Ryan Succop @ Oakland
10. Lawrence Tynes @ Seattle
11. Stephen Gostkowski @ Cleveland
12. David Akers vs. Indianapolis
13. Billy Cundiff vs. Miami
14. Nick Folk @ Detroit
15. Garret Hartley @ Carolina

Def/St:
1. Steelers @ Cincinnati
2. Packers vs. Dallas
3. Giants @ Seattle
4. Saints @ Carolina
5. Vikings vs. Arizona
6. Patriots @ Cleveland
7. Ravens vs. Miami
8. Bears @ Buffalo
9. Jets @ Detroit
10. Lions vs. New York Jets
11. Falcons vs. Tampa Bay
12. Bills vs. Chicago
13. Seahawks vs. New York Giants
14. Chiefs @ Oakland
15. Chargers @ Houston

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Where will Randy Moss fit?

So ya'll heard Randy Moss got dumped by the Vikings. Going through the waiver wire for the rest of the 31 teams, I'll provide a quick analysis on each team in the NFL.

1. Buffalo Bills - They've already had TO, now they can have Moss, but they have Steve Johnson and Lee Evans as their primary wideouts
2. Carolina Panthers - They have Steve Smith, but adding Randy Moss to the Panthers is going to hinder their WR development
3. Dallas Cowboys - They could use Moss, but they already have Miles Austin, Roy Williams, and Dez Bryant. Might I mention there's no chance in hell they're making the playoffs?
4. San Francisco 49ers - this team is a mess, much like the team he just left, wouldn't expect them to pick him up
5. Denver Broncos - too many WRs (Brandon Lloyd, Jabar Gaffney, Demetriyus Thomas)
6. Detroit Lions - they could add him, but would they want him?
7. Minnesota Vikings - just kicked him out
8. Cincinnati Bengals - they got T.O, Ochncinco, and Shipley
9. Cleveland Browns - they have a lot of other things they need to fix
10. San Diego Chargers - they definitely need WRs, I wouldn't be surprised if he joined the Chargers
11. Arizona Cardinals - It's possible, but they have Fitz and Breaston who both exploded this weekend
12. Jacksonville Jaguars - they looked very good against the Cowboys, don't think they need a WR
13. St. Louis Rams - They need a big-time WR
14. Oakland Raiders - they got rid of him already
15. Washington Redskins - Yes, they need someone opposite Moss
16. Seattle Seahawks - don't think they need a replacement for Branch
17. Chicago Bears - too many WRs
T-18. Miami Dolphins - could use him opposite Marshall
T-18. Philadelphia Eagles - they got two big good WRs, don't need him
T-18. Green Bay Packers - got too many WRs
T-18. New Orleans Saints - also have too many WRs, but Moss might be a great deep threat allowing everyone else to run around in the middle
22. Tennessee Titans - Need someone to play opposite Kenny Britt
23. Houston Texans - don't need him
24. Indianpolis Colts - don't need him
25. Kansas City Chiefs - could definitely use him
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 50/50 they need him
27. New York Giants - too many WRs
28. Baltimore Ravens - getting Stallworth back, don't need Moss
29. Atlanta Falcons - don't need him
30. New York Jets - take him so he doesn't go to the pats
31. Pittsburgh Steelers - he'd be put in his place should he go there
32. New England Patriots - yes, they would like him back now that he's learned his lesson

Monday, November 1, 2010

Studs, Solids, and Sleepers - THE THREE S'S OF FANTASY HOCKEY

Iono what to name this, my weekly segment on hockey stuff? Anyways, I'll figure it out later. This is where I post my three S's. My Studs, Solids, and Sleepers. I expect my studs to perform amazingly, my solids to perform well, and my sleepers could do well or poorly.


Studs (in no particular order this week)
Jeff Carter
Steven Stamkos
Joe Thornton
Ryan Kesler
Patrick Marleau
Pavel Datsyuk
Dany Heatley
Patrick Sharp
Ryan Callahan
Martin St. Louis
Claude Giroux
Alex Ovechkin
Dustin Byfuglien

Solids (also in no particular order this week)
Brad Richards
Sidney Crosby
Alex Steen
Brandon Dubinsky
Nicklas Backstrom
Mikko Koivu
Mike Richards
Jeff Skinner
Jonathan Toews
Johan Franzen
Tuomo Ruutu
Joe Pavelski
Derek Roy
Steve Downie
Ryane Clowe
Corey Perry
Nathan Horton
Bobby Ryan
Patrick Kane
Daniel Sedin
Mason Raymond
Scott Hartnell
Henrik Zetterberg
Eric Staal
Jeff Tambellini
Andrei Kostitsyn
Sean Avery
Daniel Carcillo (for PIMs, not much else)
Milan Lucic
James Neal
Mike Green
Stephane Robidas
Duncan Keith
Christian Ehrhoff
Chris Pronger
Steve Montador
Kris Letang
Nicklas Lidstrom
Joni Pitkanen
P.K. Subban
Kimmo Timonen
Dan Boyle
Dennis Seidenberg
Alex Goligoski

Sleepers (as well as in no particular order)

Artem Anisimov
Brian Boyle
Jordan Eberle
Henrik Sedin (could finally start scoring some goals)
Shawn Horcoff
Mike Cammalleri
Ryan Getzlaf
Jacob Dowell
Phil Kessel
Kyle Wilson
Evander Kane
Daniel Alfredsson
Teemu Selanne
Alexei Kovalev
Nicklas Bergfors
Ales Hemsky
Chad LaRose
Marcus Paajarvi
Alexander Semin
Erik Cole
Andrew Ladd
Tomas Plekanec
Ville Leino
David Perron
Ruslan Fedotenko
Loui Eriksson
Pascal Dupuis
Brenden Morrow
James Wisniewski
Theo Peckham
Zdeno Chara
Alex Pietrangelo
Ben Lovejoy
Keith Yandle
Dan Girardi
Alex Edler
Dion Phaneuf
Ed Jovanovski
Matt Carkner
Kurtis Foster
Anton Babchuk
Tom Gilbert
Pavel Kubina
Bryan McCabe
Brent Seabrook
Brad Stuart

As you read this, you might be wondering why some big names are down in sleepers and why some no names are up in solids. The reasoning behind this is that using a complex formula that I have derived, I get a point scale projection on how well players will do, kinda of like how ESPN has a player rating system in fantasy hockey. I also have created a fantasy hockey projection that takes in several variables and will give me a player rating of each player. As a result, I can put them in the three brackets that determine how well they should do in the coming week. Generally the projections work out correctly, however, there are those odd instances of injuries or bad games that cannot be accounted for. The Studs have a high number of my player rater, the Solids have a high number, but not in the upper echelon like the Studs. The sleepers are kinda in the middle. There are also players that are below my sleeper rankings who just aren't projected to do well at all. The reason I do this week to week is because of the amount of games each team will play. So obviously players that play 2 games this week will not be rated. Also, players that are consistently doing well or have come off a big week will be rated or are playing four games will be rated. This doesn't mean I rate every single player, but I have a decent sized pool that I pick from and I feel that I am generally correct. I usually was last year, so let's see how it goes this year.