Showing posts with label Rex Grossman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rex Grossman. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Tuesdays in the Pocket - Week 5

Guess what guys! It's back! Tuesdays in the pocket! You know the deal, it's all about the Quarterbacks. I have derived a formula that can calculate a quarterback's fantasy totals for the season using a few different variables, among those being how they've performed this season and how well the defenses that they will be taking on have performed. There's a few other quirks thrown in there, but like Coca-Cola, I like to keep the formula to myself. Here's the fantasy rankings for quarterbacks. Also, to note, I have two formulas running, so depending on your league settings, it'll vary.

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Wednesday's Waivers

So, most leagues have their waivers on Wednesdays (next week, I will post this on Tuesday) so that ya'll know who to pick up and who not to pick up. These are gonna be guys owned in 50% or less of all fantasy football leagues according to Yahoo! I would throw in other hosting sites as well, but I like Yahoo!'s interface. Plus, I don't like how ESPN has their scoring set-up. Moving on...

To pick up or not to pick up... that is the question...

Quarterbacks:
Chad Henne (416 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 1 INT, 59 yards rushing, 1 rushing TD)
My problem is that New England had a very weak pass defense last season, and have it again this season. Do not overestimate Henne's actual worth. Only five receivers caught balls against the Patriots, which tells defenses that there's only five guys you need to worry about catching the ball. Brandon Marshall is a threat, while Davone Bess is a reception machine. Brian Hartline's performance was surprising. Fasano has always been able to produce when given the opportunity and Reggie Bush catching passes shouldn't be a surprise. But you're going to have four of those guys on the field to start the game and they're going to be subbing in and out, and smarter defenses will key on that and be able to stop Henne when they realize that his options are somewhat limited in the passing game.
DO NOT PICK UP

Cam Newton (422 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 1 INT, 18 yards rushing, 1 rushing TD)
Cam Newton went up against a weak Arizona pass defense and torched it. The key thing is that he has turned Steve Smith into a weapon that defenses should fear, once again. He also spread the ball out with 8 players receiving the ball and had about a 66% completion percentage, which is the percentage you're looking for in a starting QB. One concern is that the run game was not able to materialize, but Newton was still able to run with his legs. Add in the fact that he was willing to plunge into the end zone and his stock goes higher. He is also out to prove the critics wrong and has a very high potential, so he is working picking up and stashing on your bench as a #2.
PICK UP

Jay Cutler (312 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 1 INT)
A lot of people underestimate Jay Cutler, he usually has very good Septembers. He's got the Saints next who let Aaron Rodgers throw all over them. After that, he's got opponents that he can throw on all the way to the bye week. He might go pick happy some games, but it looks like he'll have a lot of good games down the line.
PICK UP - TRADE HIM AFTER SEPTEMBER

Rex Grossman (305 passing yards, 2 passing TDs)
Rex had an awesome game against the Giants, although they were depleted, Rex made the smart passes and threaded the needle on a few as well. Grossman started poorly in the first two series, but lit up the Giants after that. He's got plenty of weapons and spread the ball out a bit. Coming up is the Cardinals, Cowboys, and Rams. The only concern is the Eagles. He's well worth picking up.
PICK UP

Wide Receivers:
Devery Henderson (6 receptions, 100 yards, 1 TD)
Henderson had 9 targets this game, and that was with Colston in the game. Without Colston, i can't imagine how it'll turn out now that he'll be the deep threat. He's definitely worth having while Colston is out and still has potential even when he returns.
PICK UP

Early Doucet (3 receptions, 105 yards, 1 TD)
He had three targets, and three receptions for 105 yards and 1 TD. But a lot of it came on a 70 yard catch and run which was pretty much a short pass and poor defense by the Panthers, would I actually be intrigued to pick him up? Nope.
DO NOT PICK UP

Doug Baldwin (4 receptions, 83 yards, 1 TD)
With Sidney Rice out, Doug Baldwin stepped up to take his place. While Sidney Rice is out, expect him to continue to put up points. I would highly advise picking him up while Rice is not playing. However, the chances of Tavaris Jackson actually performing well consistently...
DO NOT PICK UP

Running Backs:
Ben Tate (116 yards, 1 TD)
He is absolutely someone you must have if you have Arian Foster, but he is some one you should pick up if Arian is not going to be consistently healthy.
PICK UP

Carnell Williams (91 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 49 receiving yards)
He's a great pickup if Jackson isn't healthy, he's also a great handcuff if you have Jackson. Jackson's quad might get better, but what are the odds running backs stay healthy the entire season?
PICK UP IF NECESSARY

Tight Ends:
Scott Chandler (5 receptions, 63 yards, 2 TDs)
Many a time have we seen tight ends go crazy early in the season, while he may not be good the entire season, he'll be good in the immediate future
PICK UP

Fred Davis (5 receptions, 105 yards)
While Fred Davis had a great game, he also looks in better shape too, odds are when Cooley is 100% healthy, Davis will go back to being the #2 back. I like him, but I see no consistency in him.
DO NOT PICK UP

Kickers:
David Akers (4 FG, 3 PAT)
Two of his PATs came courtesty of Ted Ginn's kick returns. His four FGs came courtesy of San Francisco's inability to score. They always did have trouble finding the end zone
PICK UP

Robbie Gould (3 FG, 3 PAT)
I like the Bears whenever they're at home, that's when Gould will be at his best. On the road... not so much. However, he does have a good leg.
PICK UP

Josh Scobee (3 FG, 1 PAT)
Scobee has a good leg, but with McCown as QB and playing a poor Titans defense, it added up to him being in range for three field goals. Will it happen again? Probably not.
DO NOT PICK UP

That's my choices for Wednesday's Waivers. NEXT WEEK'S POST WILL COME TUESDAY!

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Tuesdays in the Pocket

So this is my first Tuesdays in the Pocket, obviously, implying that we're going to be talking about Quarterbacks. I don't really know how I'm going to do this, but for starters, let's talk about the awesome passing performances this week

300+ Yards Passing
Tom Brady (517)
Cam Newton (422)
Drew Brees (419)
Chad Henne (416)
Tony Romo (342)
Mark Sanchez (335)
Philip Rivers (335)
Matt Ryan (319)
Jay Cutler (312)
Kevin Kolb (309)
Matthew Stafford (305)
Rex Grossman (305)
Kyle Orton (304)

3+ Touchdowns Passing
Ryan Fitzpatrick (4)
Tom Brady (4)
Matthew Stafford (3)
Joe Flacco (3)
Aaron Rodgers (3)
Drew Brees (3)

QBs who had the balls to run it in
Cam Newton
Chad Henne
Jason Campbell
Alex Smith
Eli Manning

In Fantasy Football, most Quarterbacks are gauged on two things, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. Anything else is considered a bonus. These are the top QB performances this week.
I will be doing Quarterback rankings after Week 4. I believe by then, I will have a sufficient amount of data to complete my analytical analysis and give you all rankings. In the meantime, I will provide thoughts on Quarterbacks for the coming week.

MUST START:
Tom Brady - absolutely lit up the Miami defense, while San Diego is a much better defense, Brady still has good numbers in his career against the Chargers
Matthew Stafford - was a beast this past weekend against the Buccaneers, now he takes on the lowly Kansas City Chiefs defense, expect a monster game
Aaron Rodgers - last year's Super Bowl QB started exactly where he left off, with another great game, he goes against the Panthers who got shredded last time he played them.
Drew Brees - he also had a great week, but while he's not going to Solider field, the Bears defense is still very good. Regardless, Brees thrives in the dome.

HIGH POTENTIAL:
Rex Grossman - threw for over 300 yards against the Giants, now he takes on an Arizona defense that gave Cam Newton over 400 yards
Jay Cutler - lit up the Falcons defense, now goes against the Saints defense who got picked apart by Aaron Rodgers
Joe Flacco - absolutely embarrassed the Steelers, now goes against Tennessee who's defense looks quite vulnerable
Tony Romo - managed to be able to throw against the Jets talented corners, had a dumb pick that cost his team the game, but will be looking to redeem himself against a team that let Tavaris Jackson throw on them
Philip Rivers - went for over 300 against Minnesota and will attempt to match Brady TD for TD, Henne threw for over 400 against this defense, why can't Rivers?
Matt Schaub - let the run game dominate the Colts, but will take on a Miami defense that just allowed a QB to throw for 500
Michael Vick - had a sub-par game, but will return to where his career started and will do his best to put on a show for the fans.

MIDDLING:
Ryan Fitzpatrick - threw for 4 TDs against the Chiefs, but will he be able to repeat against a solid Raiders secondary?
Josh Freeman - Had a decent game against the Lions, but can he prevail in the re-opening of the dome in Minnesota?
Colt McCoy - got beat by Andy Dalton, but will take on a Colts defense that got shredded by the Texans
Mark Sanchez - 3rd career 300 yard passing game, I'm still not convinced he is the one to lead the Jets, but the Jaguars don't have the best defense in the league
Ben Roethlisberger - had, by far, one of the worst games of his career. Look for him to try to bounce back against a weak Seattle team at home
Kevin Kolb - Threw for 300 against Carolina, questions as to whether he can repeat it in DC against the Redskins defense
Cam Newton - This was more of Arizona having a weak secondary than Newton being an elite passer, time to prove he can do it again against the stout defense of the Packers
Chad Henne - Surprisingly threw for 400 yards against New England, but was still the second-best passer on the field, question whether Houston will give him as many opportunities to throw
Andy Dalton/Bruce Gradkowski - questions whether Dalton will be able to play. Denver secondary wasn't tested much against Raiders, but the Raiders were able to run it down their throat
Kyle Orton - manged to throw for 300 yards despite receivers dropping passes and a slick ball. Chance to prove doubters wrong against Cincinnati
Matt Ryan - got wrecked by the Chicago defense and will now take on the Eagles defense who have a better secondary
Eli Manning - didn't have a good day against the Redskins, now will try to perform well against a defense that was able to contain Michael Vick

HIGH RISK:
Jason Campbell - team doesn't throw and he has limited opportunities to put up points
Donovan McNabb - looked awful against San Diego, doesn't get much better against Tampa Bay
Matt Hasselbeck - dumb luck is how Britt scored the first TD, won't be getting lucky against the Baltimore defense
Kerry Collins - looked awful against the Texans, could look a little less awful against the Browns
Alex Smith - barely contributed to the game, now he's going against Dallas, which could be good or bad.
Sam Bradford - injured finger, could affect throwing, plus, they're playing the Giants who look to have Tuck return

BENCH:
Matt Cassel - hasn't looked good in the pre-season and it's carried over to the regular season.
Luke McCown - takes on the Jets, nuff said
Tavaris Jackson - going against the Steelers, nuff said

You'll notice there's a lot of guys middling, a lot of QBs are going to get you around 15 to 20 points, that's how I see it, I could be wrong, but their match-ups don't stand out as of yet. I guess that's this week's edition of Tuesdays in the pocket, I'll see what I can do for next week